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Weekend Winter Storm Potential

The talk of the town, for better or for worse, is the potential mess of a winter storm that is expected to move across the Upper Midwest for this weekend! Even though we are less that 48 hours out from this storm system, there’s still plenty of questions that have yet to be answered with what we may see. Until then, there’s just a slight chance for snow showers for this evening and tonight with a cloudy day shaping up for Friday. High temperatures return to the upper 20s and perhaps the lower 30s by Friday afternoon which will be the warmest temperatures we have seen since February 23rd!

All eyes are on this weekend and the potential winter storm for the region. Confidence remains high that we will be impacted by this system, but confidence in precipitation type for southeast Minnesota remains quite low. Our biggest issue is just how much warm air may stream out in front of this system from Friday night and into Saturday and just how far above or below freezing temperatures will be at the onset of precipitation for Saturday.

Right now, it looks like we could see enough warm air for rain to fall later Saturday morning through the early afternoon across southeast Minnesota and northeast Iowa. Some ice may be possible if temperatures remain below freezing, especially across southeast Minnesota. Rain gives way to snow Saturday afternoon with all snow expected through Saturday evening and Saturday night with snow wrapping up early Sunday morning. Snowfall amounts will depend greatly on precipitation type for Saturday with 4 to 8 inches of snow possible for most of southeast Minnesota if we start out with rain and switch over to snow by Saturday afternoon. The highest confidence for the heaviest snowfall is expected to fall northwest of a line from Waseca to Lake City where 6 to 12 inches of snow may be possible.

Strong winds pick up for Sunday with northwest to west winds gusting from 30 to 40 mph. Blowing snow is certainly possible for Sunday, but since this snow may be heavier in nature we may not see as much drifting snow when compared to our blizzard 2 weeks ago. With that said, travel may become difficult Saturday afternoon with difficult travel due to blowing snow throughout the day on Sunday. Temperatures this weekend range from the mid 30s on Saturday to the upper 20s on Sunday.

Looking ahead to next week, we’re looking at the chance for another storm system to move into the region for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. There’s still plenty of questions with regards to this storm system as well, but there is a signal for warmer temperatures across southern Minnesota which may lead to a better chance for rain for the middle of next week!

Matt Benz

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